Macro & Market Musings – 8/1/25

Comments based on information available as of 7:10am CT on 8/1/2025 Growth: How Low Can You Go? Headline gross domestic product (GDP) rebounded from the decline in the first quarter, but headlines can be misleading. Final sales to private domestic...

Macro & Market Musings – 7/25/25

Comments based on information available as of 6:00am CT on 7/25/2025 Growth: The AI-A-Team In recent years, markets were led by the “Magnificent 7” — seven dominant tech firms. But lately, tech alone isn’t enough. Leadership within that club has...

Macro & Market Musings – 7/18/25

Comments based on information available as of 7:20am CT on 7/18/2025 Growth: More Than A Bounce? Recent data suggest the U.S. economy may be on firmer footing than previously thought. Industrial production rose 0.3% in June, beating expectations, while retail sales...

Macro & Market Musings – 7/11/25

Comments based on information available as of 7:20am CT on 7/11/2025 Growth: Clouds Are Clearing  The first half of the year was dominated by uncertainty over tariffs, taxes, and geopolitical tensions. For now, conflicts in the Middle East seem to have calmed, and the...

Macro & Market Musings – 7/3/25

Comments based on information available as of 7:00am CT on 7/03/2025 Growth: Pent Up Animal Spirits? The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Statistics is not the most reliable labor market survey. The response rate is down from 70% in 2015 to 35% in 2025. The big...

Macro & Market Musings – 6/27/25

Comments based on information available as of 7:45am CT on 6/27/2025 Growth: Slowing, Not Stopping First quarter gross domestic product estimates were revised down as consumers spent less on services than originally thought. However, inflation-adjusted disposable...